Falcons-Saints Finish Week 4; MLB Playoff Continue
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We had a winning CFB Saturday at 4-2 (+1.80 units), and after losing some props during day Sunday, rallied with a great SNF game to salvage the Sunday. CFB Saturday (6-1-1, +4.90 units) and an average NFL Sunday with the picks, doing better with the sides/totals than the props (7-6, +.15 units, including TNF). For the season, we are up 19.4 units in CFB/NFL in this newsletter.
The Saints and Falcons finish off Week 4 and if you were around for TNF Week 3, you probably know where we are headed.
NFL Season Record
Sides: 5-2 (1-1 in Week 4)
Totals: 9-4 (2-1 in Week 4)
Props: 15-12 (4-4 in Wk4)
Overall: 29-18, +8.95 units
SGPs: 1-2 (+1 unit) - our SGPs are half unit plays
CFB Record
Week 0: 1-2, -1.20u
Week 1: 4-4, +0.45u
Week 2: 8-1, +5.40u
Week 3: 4-4, -0.40u
Week 4: 6-1-1, +4.90 units
Week 5: 4-2, +1.8 units
Total: 27-14-1, +10.45 units
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But you're here for betting analysis, so let's get to it.
We have our Monday night card as well as some picks and previews for the MLB postseasons. We also have NFL Week 5 lines to get an early jump on.
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Now, let's get to the picks.
Today's Newsletter
Inside Today's Issue
🎯 Best Bets from MNF
🏈 Prop It Like It's Hot - MNF
🏈 NFL Week 5 early look
⚾ MLB
🏀 WNBA
📊 Stat of the Day
📈 Weekend Recap
🎙 Around Betting with Bearman
🎯 Today's Best Bet
NFL Season Record
Sides: 5-2, +2.75u (1-1 in Week 4)
Totals: 9-4, +4.40u (2-1 in Week 4)
Props: 15-12, +1.80u (4-4 in Wk4)
Overall: 29-18, +8.95 units
SGPs: 1-2 (+1 unit) - our SGPs are half unit plays
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints ( -1.5, 47.5) - Monday Night Football
- We don't really love a side or total in this one. The 1.5 points spread confirms this is a toss up and Atlanta looked like a completely different team with Penix back last week. The Saints tend to look terrible in first half and then wake up and offense rolls in the 2nd half if you are looking for some 1st half or 2nd half action.
- So we will do what we love to do... Prop It Like It's Hot!
- The Michael Penix-Drake London connection is back and anyone who loves player props, loves this. The math is simple.
- In 13 games in which Penix started, London averages 7.0 receptions and 104.3 yards per game on 11 targets per game. He had 9-194 on 10 targets last week at Green Bay.
- In the 19 games he has played without Penix, it's 5.2 receptions, 63.6 yards per game on 8 targets a game.
- London only had 6 catches for 80 total yards in the two games without Penix, but that all changed last week.