Jaguars-Ravens Kickoff NFL Week 9; CFP Rankings Shake up Odds

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Welcome to the new and improved Betting with Bearman. I hope you enjoyed the new look and the new platform for the relaunch, which includes a website, so make sure to bookmark www.bearmanbets.com.

We almost swept the board on Monday night, hitting the Bears easily to move to 16-4 in Primetime picks, went 2-0 in our NBA plays, and missed our alt-line SGP by the hook on the under. We even hit a Cooper Kupp TD for +300, trying for the DraftKings $2M pot.

NFL's Week 9 begins on Thursday night with the AFC South-leading Jaguars in Baltimore to face a fading Ravens team. We also update our Futures portfolio and check out the rest of the sports landscape, which includes NBA games.

We had Chris "The Bear" Fallica on the podcast yesterday, breaking down the best CFB slate we've seen in years.

NFL Season Record
Sides: 9-6 (1-2 in Week 8)
Totals: 15-9 (2-0 in Week 8)
Props: 34-22 (3-3 in Week 8)
Overall: 58-37, +17.25 units
16-4 in Primetime (7-1 on MNF)

CFB Record
Week 0: 1-2, -1.20u
Week 1: 4-4, +0.45u
Week 2: 8-1, +5.40u
Week 3: 4-4, -0.40u
Week 4: 6-1-1, +4.90 units
Week 5: 4-2, +1.8 units
Week 6: 3-4, -1.28 units
Week 7: 7-0, +7 units
Week 8: 4-2, +1.8 units
Week 9: 2-4, -2.30 units
Total: 43-24-1, +15.77 units

NBA Record This Season
Sides:
1-1
Totals: 4-0
Player Prop: 0-2
Total: 5-3, +1.8 units

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Don't forget to subscribe to the Betting with Bearman podcast. Each week, I'll be joined by great guests from across the sports betting industry. Raheem Palmer returns this week to preview NFL Week 7 and give us his favorite NBA Futures.

But you're here for betting analysis, so let's get to it.

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Now, let's get to the picks.


Today's Newsletter

Inside Today's Issue

🎯 Best Bet - Thursday night football pick
🏀 NBA
🏈 CFP Rankings Thoughts
🏈 Midweek Edge - Notable Line Movement
📊 Stat of the Day
📈 Futures Portfolio
🎙 Around Betting with Bearman


🎯 Today's Best Bet ⛳


🏈 Thursday Night Football in Baltimore

Jacksonville Jaguars (-9.5, 40.5) at Baltimore Ravens

  • In the Monday lookahead email, I gave out Ravens team total u17.5, hitting on the fact they may be down to their third-string QB with Lamar Jackson out and Tyler Huntley going for an MRI. Well, that is what's happening, as Huntley is out for the season.
  • However, the line has moved with the fact that Joe Fagnano is now making his first NFL start. The team total is down to 14.5, which I still think is betable with Baltimore scoring 13 or fewer in three straight games, and they weren't going up against the best defenses in the world either (Browns, Bengals, Bills).
  • That said, it's a very low team total, the game line has gotten high, and the game total has dropped... so let's go to the prop market and a very familiar well that we have visited often.

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