Commanders-Giants Kickoff Week 10; Two NBA Games to Play

David Bearman

— 13 min read
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Welcome to the new and improved Betting with Bearman. I hope you enjoyed the new look and the new platform for the relaunch, which includes a website, so make sure to bookmark www.bearmanbets.com.

We ended Week 9 on a positive note, hitting our Buffalo Bills -3 bet to finish the NFL Weekend at 5-5 (5-6, -1.60 for Week 9) and move to 18-4 in Primetime picks (8-1 on MNF). We went 4-2 in CFB this week (+1.80), depending on where you got BC and Miami lines (always shop for the best line), for a football weekend of +.2, and went 1-1 in our NBA picks.

We are going to cram a bunch into today's newsletter to make up for not having Monday's due to travel. We will hit on the TNF game of Commanders vs. Giants and also give the lookahead for the week as well as hit a few NBA games.

We had Chris "The Bear" Fallica on the podcast last week, breaking down the best CFB slate we've seen in years, and will have Geoff Feinberg on the podcast today.

NFL Season Record
Sides: 11-6 (2-0 in Week 9)
Totals: 15-11 (0-2 in Week 9)
Props: 37-26 (3-4 in Week 9)
Overall: 63-43, +16.65 units
18-4 in Primetime (8-1 on MNF)

CFB Record
Week 0: 1-2, -1.20u
Week 1: 4-4, +0.45u
Week 2: 8-1, +5.40u
Week 3: 4-4, -0.40u
Week 4: 6-1-1, +4.90 units
Week 5: 4-2, +1.8 units
Week 6: 3-4, -1.28 units
Week 7: 7-0, +7 units
Week 8: 4-2, +1.8 units
Week 9: 2-4, -2.30 units
Week 10: 4-2, +1.80 units
Total: 47-26-1, +17.57 units

NBA Record This Season
Sides: 1-1
Totals: 6-0
Player Prop: 1-3
Total: 8-4, +3.7 units

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But you're here for betting analysis, so let's get to it.

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Today's Newsletter

Inside Today's Issue

🎯 Best Bet - Thursday night football pick
🏈 Week 10 NFL Lookahead
🏀 NBA
🏈 CFP Rankings Thoughts
🏈 Midweek Edge - Notable Line Movement
📊 Stat of the Day
📈 Futures Portfolio
🎙 Around Betting with Bearman

🎯 Today's Best Bet ⛳


🏈 Thursday Night Football in New Jersey

Washington Commanders at New York Giants (-2.5, 41.5)

  • In the first matchup between these two teams, which was Daniels' first game back from his injury, he ran 9 times for 103 yards and 2 TDs. We do not expect that kind of production, but he also ran for 69 yards in the game in which he got injured.
  • Jayden Daniels' recent rushing numbers haven't been impressive, but the matchups help explain why. His last three opponents — the 49ers, Eagles and Rams — have generally limited opposing quarterbacks on the ground, particularly San Francisco.

Read more