Full Slate of NFL Week 9 Action; Best Slate of CFB Season on Tap

David Bearman

— 21 min read
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Happy Friday! We are headed to Gainesville this weekend to see Florida-Oklahoma, so getting this out early today. Note: We won't have a Monday newsletter due to a conference I will be at and travel, so I gave out my MNF play today in this newsletter.

We got off to a winning start last night with the Derrick Henry under 70.5 prop hit, moving us to 35-22 in props this season and 17-4 in primetime picks. We also hit both NBA plays from Wednesday.

Today, we have a full NFL Week 9 and CFB Week 10 card, easily the best slate of CFB games we have seen in a decade. We won't have picks on them all, but we will have a lot of them! We also try to stay hot with the NBA, having hit our last 4 in a row.

If you want a FULL rundown of the big CFB games, check out the Betting with Bearman podcast, where Chris "The Bear" Fallica was on.

NFL Season Record
Sides: 9-6
Totals: 15-9
Props: 35-22 (1-0 in Week 9)
Overall: 59-37, +18.25 units
17-4 in Primetime (7-1 on MNF)

CFB Record
Week 0: 1-2, -1.20u
Week 1: 4-4, +0.45u
Week 2: 8-1, +5.40u
Week 3: 4-4, -0.40u
Week 4: 6-1-1, +4.90 units
Week 5: 4-2, +1.8 units
Week 6: 3-4, -1.28 units
Week 7: 7-0, +7 units
Week 8: 4-2, +1.8 units
Week 9: 2-4, -2.30 units
Total: 43-24-1, +15.77 units

NBA Record This Season
Sides: 1-1
Totals: 5-0
Player Prop: 1-2
Total: 7-3, +3.8 units

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Today's Newsletter

Inside Today's Issue

🎯 Weekend Best Bet
🏈 NFL Week 8 Picks
🏈 Prop It Like It's Hot
🏈 CFB Week 10 Picks
🏀 NBA
📊 Stat of the Day
🎙 Around Betting with Bearman

🎯 Weekend's Best Bet

NFL Season Record
Sides: 9-6
Totals: 15-9
Props: 35-22 (1-0 in Week 9)
Overall: 59-37, +18.25 units
17-4 in Primetime (7-1 on MNF)

Houston Texans (-4.5, 40.5) at Los Angeles Chargers

  • Even a bye week could not cure the Chargers offense, who were held to 3 FGs and once again could not find the end zone.
  • They have not scored an offensive TD since the 3rd quarter of Week 5 (27 possessions) - longest streak since the 2024 Dolphins went 30 straight (yes, Mike McDaniel)
  • Key Chargers numbers:
    • League-worst 14.1 PPG (32nd)
    • 28th in total yards (288.3 per game)
    • Yards per play: Approximately 4.7 (rank not independently verified)
    • 26th in passing yards (177.1 per game)
    • Last in EPA/play
    • 17 TOs lead the NFL
    • 12% of Chargers drives have ended in touchdowns, compared with an NFL average of roughly 25%
    • Last in offensive success rate (39.5%)

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